MENA Open Data & Evidence Lab
Research position

Measure the measurement system.

Official statistics are estimates produced under specific definitions, calendars, release schedules, data sources and methodologies. MENA Evidence Lab keeps those measurement conditions inside the empirical object instead of treating the latest number as timeless truth.

Statistical time
When was it knowable?

Release timestamps and historical information sets.

Statistical memory
What did it say before?

First releases, later vintages and revisions.

Measurement regime
How was it produced?

Base years, classifications, surveys and administrative inputs.

Comparability
Is it the same object?

Definitions, populations, units and calendar treatment.

The first live anomaly

A concrete example of why statistical history must remain addressable.

Measurement Anomaly 001 · Saudi Arabia

2023 real GDP growth: −0.8% → +0.5%

The comprehensive national-accounts revision changes the qualitative description of 2023 from contraction to growth. MENA Vintage Vault preserves both vintages and the methodology event that connects them.

Research programmes

Projects are organized by measurement problem rather than content category.

01 · Real time

Real-Time Macroeconomic Measurement

MENA-RTD, release latency, information completeness, hindsight contamination, vintage-aware forecast evaluation and revision risk.

02 · Alternative signals

Alternative Economic Measurement

Official, physical and high-frequency indicators as noisy views of latent economic activity; measurement disagreement as a research object.

03 · Firms

Firm Dynamics

Probabilistic firm states, labor demand, technology adoption, procurement and survival under incomplete administrative visibility.

04 · State

State and Markets

Procurement, SOEs, sovereign capital and policy shocks with explicit identification strategies.

05 · Integrity

Statistical Integrity

Comparability, methodology breaks, source survival, revision chains and hostile claim stress tests.

Observed statistic(t,v) = latent economic object(t) + measurement process(t,v) + error(t,v)

The point is not that official data is untrustworthy. The point is that the process generating official data is itself measurable, changes over time and can alter empirical conclusions.

Open core, commissioned application

The Lab publishes methods and core evidence openly. Paid work applies the same infrastructure to a client’s historical cutoff, model or dataset.