MENA Open Data & Evidence Lab
Real-time macroeconomic measurement · live seed

MENA-RTD

A real-time data and vintages system for reconstructing the economic information set that actually existed on a historical date. Later revisions remain available without leaking backward into the past.

The first release-clock result

Q1 2026 ended on the same date. The recorded release objects did not arrive together.

Saudi · flash29d
Saudi · fuller Q169d
Morocco90d
Jordan · observed page96d
Oman · catalogue103d

These are heterogeneous release objects, intentionally preserved as such. The 29→103 spread is evidence of statistical asynchrony in the current seed, not yet a harmonized ranking of first-publication performance.

Core query

What was actually knowable on date d?

MENA-RTD defines the historical information set as the collection of source-verified observations publicly available by a chosen cutoff. The system is designed to answer a question latest-vintage databases usually cannot: whether an observation existed yet, which vintage existed, and under which methodology.

Observation contract

The system stores release state rather than only a country-period value.

country indicator reference_period release_timestamp release_stage vintage_id value unit methodology_version source_url source_hash retrieved_at predecessor_vintage successor_vintage revision_value comparability_state validation_state

Research outputs unlocked by the archive

Latency

Statistical asynchrony

How quickly different indicator families and countries become observable.

Leakage

Hindsight contamination

Whether historical models use observations or revisions that were unavailable at the claimed cutoff.

Revision

News versus noise

Whether later revisions look like new information or predictable correction of earlier measurement error.

Completeness

Regional information frontier

What fraction of regional output has become statistically observable at each date after a reference period ends.

Build boundary. The current public system is a source-linked seed, not a complete 2015–2026 regional archive. The next build target is ten economies and five indicator families, with release-stage distinctions preserved rather than silently harmonized.